AFK were totally humiliated 6-0 last week away against Brann. It was a terrible performance in which they only registered a single shot all match, that's how poor they were. Aalesund now find themselves second bottom of the table, yet coach Trond Fredriksen somehow keeps his job. If these sort of results continue though, he won't be in the position much longer. Aalesund have generally had a really poor campaign and have only won three times all year. This is perhaps a winnable fixture facing a Lillestrom side who haven't been that great since the summer break. For this match Daniel Gretarsson is suspended, but he’s not much of a loss and wouldn't have started anyway. The rest of the squad is in good condition and have had a nice nine day break ahead of this game. The problem is they simply haven't been playing well enough!
LSK produced their best performance since the summer break, beating Stromsgodset 2-0 last week. They dominated the contest and deserved to win, although it must be said that their opponents were extremely flat and lifeless. Lillestrom have generally been pretty bad in recent weeks, losing some horrible matches and being constantly outplayed. Maybe that win last week can help rebuild their confidence, but until they go on a consistent run then I’d still be a little bit concerned about them. LSK are still hurting from the departure of key striker Fred Friday, but they did at least sign two new players this week. One of them is a striker from the Czech league, Toma Malec. They’ll hope he can add some badly needed ammunition. Injuries are few and far between and crucially they welcomed back key goalkeeper Arnold Origi from injury last week. He always gives a reassuring presence and maybe it was no coincidence they kept a clean sheet.
Conclusion & betting analysis
This is a tricky one to call. Both teams have been playing pretty badly since the summer break, with Alesund especially under a lot of pressure. Usually, when two poor teams face each other then it can lead to an open match, but I’ve got a feeling in this instance both might be a little scared. AFK conceded six goals last week so it’s to be expected the coach has worked on defensive organisation in training. They can’t afford to be so leaky at the back. AFK have had nine days to hear how bad they are from all the media etc and I could see them putting in quite a committed performance, unless the players have lost faith in their coach. I don’t think chances will be at a premium and I don't really see Lillestrom coming here and being positive either. To be honest, a draw would suit them pretty well. I think something like a 1-1 draw, or even a 0-0 is possible. If someone is to win, then I’d give Aalesund a slight edge. But I don’t really know here and I’m quite happy to leave the match alone from a betting point of view.
Recommended bet: None