France Ligue 1 – Dijon v Nantes Preview (13/8/16)


Dijon preview

DFCO finished second in Ligue 2 last season, although for the most part they were probably the best side in the league. They dominated matches with great possession and good attacking qualities, pretty much easing to promotion. The last time they were in Ligue 1 they suffered due to a poor backline and most of their reinforcements this summer have been in defence and midfield. Whilst this might be smart, quite a few changes, maybe too many have taken place which is unusual for a promoted side into Ligue 1. New left back Arnold Bouka Moutou is injured for this match, as is fellow new addition from midfield Marvin Martin. The whole of the Dijon attack force which was so fluid last season has stayed in tact, but at Ligue 1 level it will be more difficult for them. For the most part, Les Rouges have had an excellent home record in recent years and the crowd can be pretty vocal at Le Stade Gaston Gerard.

Nantes preview

Les Canaris are under the management of Rene Girard this season who replaces Michel der Zakarian. Nantes were quite defensive under their previous boss, but I’m not sure an awful lot will actually change. The main strength of the side looks to be in defense and most of their strikers are more physical than technically gifted. This is a team which will be highly competitive and the general theme is that they are a strong muscled sort of team. Nantes haven't been massively active in the transfer market this summer. A few new players have arrived, along with the odd departure. They’ll hope for a new era under Girard but I see a very similar sort of Canaris this year, likely to end up around midtable.

Conclusion & betting analysis

This should be an interesting encounter but I have no real feel for the game. Dijon are newly promoted and there will always be question marks surrounding teams like them. They can’t rely on outscoring teams in this division and if Olivier Dall'Oglio employs positive tactics which are too open then they could suffer. This isn't the hardest opening day match for them but Nantes are a solid sort of Ligue 1 side who could be hard to break down. I think this will be an even game, not too open but not too tight either. It should be a watchable encounter and it’ll come down to who takes their chances at the right time. I think the bookies have their DNB line set pretty fair, and perhaps the most logical outcome is a draw. The goal line is between 1.75 and 2 which looks a bit low. Dijon were quite proactive last year, but then again Nantes could prove to be resolute. Overall, I’d say it’s a match to swerve pre game but there could be some in-running potential on the overs if the match did happen to open up.

Prediction: 1-1
Recommended bet: None

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