ESTAC have surprised everyone by picking up back to back wins. A victory against Laval last time out at home 1-0 is nothing to shout about, but the 3-1 they obtained at Le Havre last week was a complete shocker. Some would argue they deserved it too, even though they were given a generous penalty and rode their luck at times. Troyes were proactive in the game and were dangerous on the counter attack, so were rewarded for their efforts. Following a nightmare start to the season and also following on from a disastrous Ligue 1 campaign, maybe this team has turned the corner. It might be that a sudden loss would dent their confidence again, but who knows. Understandably, the coach has kept faith with a similar squad that beat Le Havre.
Les Sang et Or followed up a great win at Nimes with an awful home display against Amiens. Teams like Lens really should have way too much for the newly promoted minnows, yet struggled to create chances and probably deserved to lose. Lens were highly frustrated in that game and maybe playing on the road will suit them better. This is a side which does seem better equipped on the break so maybe results will be better on the road this year. It’s difficult to know exactly which Lens will turn up here, the good bad or the ugly? They have shown more faces than Big Ben so far this campaign and look fairly unpredictable.
Conclusion & betting analysis
If Troyes continue their upward curve, then odd of 2.0 on a DNB handicap available on them here might look like a really big price come the end of the night. The problem is I went against Lens the last time they played away and got badly stung when they beat Nimes. After that I backed them vs Amiens and they lost! I’m sick of Lens games already this year so I’m going to leave this one alone. I have no idea if the good or bad Lens will turn up. But my gut feeling is for them to lose this game and for the match to contain over 2.5 goals. I was slightly tempted by backing over 2.25, but the odds aren’t quite juicy enough. This might be a decent match to watch and fairly open, I’d expect quite a few chances in it.
Recommended bet: None