Ligue 1 – Nancy v Guingamp Preview (27/8/16)

ASNL-EAG

Nancy preview

The newly promoted Lorraine outfit have started the season with back to back defeats and yet to register a single goal. Their lack of threat upfront has been all too evident and they've struggled to create many chances. Old veteran Youssouf Hadji returns to the squad after injury today, and maybe his touch might make the difference should he come off the bench or something. At the back, Mickael Chretien is still ruled out which is a big blow because he’s one of their top defenders. Nancy dominated most matches last term but already they’ve witnessed the harsh reality of Ligue 1 level, it’s just a complete step above. This is perhaps a more manageable fixture but they need to really open up and become the threat they were last year.

Guingamp preview

The Bretons have a ton of injuries with about 9 or 10 players all ruled out of this game. Most of them affect guys who have yet to play a single minute yet this campaign, although Guingamp were dealt a big blow by the news that captain Jimmy Briand is ruled out. They will miss him upfront and he’s a tough of class at this level. Winger Yannis Salibur is rated doubtful so the visitors could certainly lose some of their attacking threat which has served them well so far this season. Guingamp have actually looked quite good thus far, especially during last week’s 2-1 win against Marseille. Coach Antoine Kombouare is naturally attack minded and his sides usually retain some sort of threat going forwards.

Conclusion & betting analysis

I have a feeling that Nancy might win this match but they are too short to back around the 1.85 mark on a -0.25 handicap. Once again it looks like Guingamp might be underrated a bit, although missing Jimmy Briand upfront might affect them. If Briand was available and Salibur guaranteed a start then I would back over 2.25 goals. But the visitors might have to rely on defensive solidarity today instead. Couple that with Nancy’s ineptitude in front of goal, the wise option is probably to refrain from betting. One fact that mustn't be overlooked is that Nancy play on an artificial surface so they’ll have an advantage in that department. As I mentioned, I was tempted with over 2.25 goals but there’s probably too much doubt.

Prediction: 2-1
Recommended bet: None