Tippeligaen – Brann v Rosenborg Preview (21/8/16)

BRANN-RBK

Brann preview

The hosts lost last week away against Valerenga but still remain third in the table. It’s been a very good season for the Bergen club, thanks mostly to a brilliant home record. They've won their last 8 consecutively at this stadium and the only time they dropped any points was a 0-0 against Odd at the start of the year. Brann have conceded just one goal in front of their own fans, although that statistic will come under threat with the visit of Rosenborg. The big strength of Brann this season has been keeping clean sheets and in general maintaining a tight disciplined defence. With the attacking duo of Daniel Braaten (inj) and Deyver Vega (susp) both missing here, they will rely even more on their stout backline to get them a positive result.

Rosenborg preview

The defending champions are already a whopping 11 points clear at the top of the table and have already pretty much secured the gold medal. More of a priority is in Europe where they lost on Thursday night away against Austria Vienna, although did score a late away goal which could be crucial. RBK would love to qualify for the group stages of the Europa League, but they must win the second leg to have a chance of doing that. Therefore, I would expect the upcoming match to take higher priority. We have seen the coach rotate players in the last few weeks, although it seemingly hasn’t affected their Tippeligaen form at all. They are clearly the best side in this league by a long way. Today they’ll have to do without midfielder Fredrik Midtsjo (sus) whilst winger Yann de Lanlay is out injured long term. Striker Bakanga is rated doubtful.

Conclusion & betting analysis

This is a great heavyweight battle between two of the biggest clubs in Norway. There is a strong historical rivalry between the two teams and I expect a committed performance from both. The atmosphere should be great and a full house is expected. Rosenborg haven't lost since the opening day of the season but there’s a chance they could leave empty handed today. Brann are an incredible home force, have been playing very well recently and might be catching RBK at a good time. The visitors have constantly had to cope with their European schedule and sooner or later it will catch them out in the league. Whether that’s today I’m not sure, but if RBK do have an achilles heel; then it’s on the road. I don’t think this match will contain many goals. Brann are so tight defensively, and I’d expect them to focus on that aspect even more so today. The last time RB played on the road they beat Lillestrom 4-3, but most of their away games are low scoring. Historically, this fixture always contains goals which puts me off backing under 2.75. It’s just one of those games which can ignite at any moment and both sets of players always give 110% effort for such an occasion. I'd love to bet on Brann +0.25 and maybe I would have if Vega & Braaten were available. I just think overall the most sensible option is to refrain from betting though.

Prediction: 1-0
Recommended bet: None

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