Tippeligaen – Brann v Stromsgodset Preview (7/8/16)


Brann preview

SK Brann are now up to third in the table after beating Odd 3-1 away from home last week. The way some of their rivals are playing around them, I don’t see any reason why they can't at least stay there or even sneak second spot come the end of the season. Brann have been in good form recently and have a brilliant home record this year winning seven and drawing just once in front of their own fans. Another incredible statistic is that they've only conceded one goal here all campaign. Brann have some great defensive strength but it’s their offense which has come to life in recent times. Their 6-0 hammering of Aalesund springs to mind and even last week they looked decent going forwards. The Bergen outfit will be without key defender Vadim Demidov & defensive midfielder Sivert Nilsen because both are suspended. This is a blow and it’ll be interesting to see how they cope without them.

Stromsgodset preview

Godset are great at home but poor away. That's the general theme with this team and last weekend dropped some rare points in front of their own fans when Stabaek held them to a 2-2 draw. Some might say they were even lucky to obtain that and eventually they were clinging on with just 10 men. Midfielder Francisco Junior was given an early bath and that means he’s suspended for this match. In their previous away game Godset played really poorly against Lillestrom (0-2) facing a team who have been rotten since the summer break. I guess this isn’t too much of a surprise though, Godset have routinely been a fairly poor outfit on the road. Already this season they've lost 5 out of 8 away from home. Squad condition is generally decent but you sense SIF need to improve upon recent showings here in order to get a result.

Conclusion & betting analysis

Brann look a pretty good price here on a -0.25 handicap and I’m surprised odds above 1.90 are available. They are incredibly formidable at home and also playing with great confidence at the moment. Some consideration has to be given to their suspended duo, but that kind of evens itself out a bit with Godset also missing Francisco Junior in the middle. I think taking Brann -0.25 is a bit of a no brainer. The chances of them losing this game are pretty low. Stromsgodset simply don't play anywhere near as good away from home and I’m happy to bet against them here. I’m not sure if this match will end over or under. Brann do keep a lot of clean sheets at home so it’s always difficult to know with this market. Taking the hosts on the aforementioned -0.25 looks like the simplest and most profitable solution.

Prediction: 2-0
Recommended bet 1 unit: Brann -0.25 @ 2.0 (minimum odds acceptable 1.80)

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