France Ligue 1 – Bastia v Nancy Preview (21/9/16)

scb-asnlBastia preview

  • Won two and lost three games to start the season. They went down to a 93rd minute penalty on Sunday away against St Etienne (0-1).
  • Usually strong at home and if you exclude the PSG match in which they were highly competitive, SCB are 100% at Le Stade Furiani this year.
  • No major squad changes and their only injuries are to long term casualties.
  • Under the management of Francois Ciccolini, Bastia are hard to beat, but not the most exciting team to watch.

Nancy preview

  • Picked up four points from their last two games after a sticky start to the season.
  • New signing Alou Diarra makes his first appearance in the squad, whilst key defender Mickael Chretien is also included following a lengthy injury.
  • The coach has restated out some regular starters, including right winger Anthony Robic and midfielder Benoit Pedretti.
  • This suggests he might look to rotate around the starting XI, opting for some extra freshness.
  • Nancy sat deep in their previous away game and I’d expect something similar here, aiming to be solid.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Bastia are usually hard to beat in front of their own fans and it’s never a good idea to bet against them here.
  • Still never seem to be respected by the bookies enough though and they can be backed on a juicy -0.25 handicap here around the 2.0 mark.
  • Despite this, I won't take them. Bastia rarely convince me under Ciccolini and just manage to ‘get the job done’, sometimes fortunately.
  • I’m anticipating a really close, tight game containing few chances. Set pieces could be crucial.
  • A 0-0 draw wouldn’t surprise me but Bastia have a knack of sneaking these sort of fixtures so I could see them edging a scrappy match something like 1-0.
  • Bastia -0.25 was tempting but I don’t trust them enough so I’ll leave the match alone.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: None