France Ligue 1 – Lyon v Montpellier Preview (21/9/16)

ol-mhscLyon preview

  • Now winless in three ligue games, although played quite well on Sunday away against Marseille with a weakened side.
  • Boosted by the return of playmakers Nabil Fekir & Mathieu Valbuena from injury, although both might only start from the bench.
  • They are however, still without key men Alexandre Lacazette (inj), Maxime Gonalons (susp) and Clement Grenier (inj)
  • Usually really strong at their new stadium under the management of Bruno Genesio. Defeat to Bordeaux last time out was the first they suffered defeat here with him in charge.

Montpellier preview

  • Solid, if not spectacular start to the season. They have drawn their last three games.
  • MHSC have scored exactly one goal in every match so far.
  • Have kept a very consistent squad all season and the same players are retained who featured in their draw against Nice on Sunday.
  • The tactics of coach Frederic Hantz are always difficult to predict and I’m not sure what sort of gameplan he’ll have here.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • This fixture has a history of high scoring matches. Three of the last six encounters between the two have ended 5-1!
  • Lyon are the better team and their extra quality should make the difference come the final whistle.
  • The hosts are winless in three game though and missing their star striker Lacazette.
  • The Lyon handicap is between -1 and -0.75. They should win, but quite how easily I’m not sure.
  • The goal line is set at 2.75 which looks a little high considering both teams aren’t scoring huge amount of goals right now.
  • Lyon and the overs are slightly tempting bets but I just don’t have quite enough confidence to back either of them. I’d say 2-1 or 3-1 are the most likely scorelines.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: None