France Ligue 1 – Marseille v Lyon Preview (18/9/16)

om-olMarseille preview

  • Despite only having picked up four points so far, Marseille have looked improved this season.
  • A little unlucky to lose at Nice last week, but individual errors at the back are still costing them.
  • Midfield duo of Diarra & Diaby both missing, so they’ll lose some steel in that part of the field.
  • Likely to attack from the off, they are usually a really positive side under their current coach.
  • Offensively look in better shape with players now getting used to each other more.

Lyon preview

  • Lost both of their last two ligue games and the defence has shipped in seven goals during this period.
  • Key injuries and suspensions. Star striker Alexandre Lacazette is ruled out, along with captain Maxime Gonalons in the middle.
  • Some other players who would be starters, or contenders to be in the XI are missing as well.
  • Played on Wednesday night in the Champions League but had a fairly easy match against Zagreb and shouldn’t be affected.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Big ‘Olympico’ clash between two massive rivals in French football.
  • Both head into the match not in a great state with particular doubts over defending.
  • Historically an open and exciting clash, although the last four H2Hs have all yielded under 2.5 matches.
  • The goal line is set at 2.75 and whilst extremely tempting, this is a bit too high when guys like Lacazette & Fekir are missing for Lyon.
  • Shockingly, Marseille are underdogs on a DNB line. This seems completely wrong.
  • If Lyon were at full strength then I could understand to a degree, but without their leading marksman their threat upfront is reduced.
  • Marseille aren’t great at home but this price on a DNB line is simply too big to refuse.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet 1 unit: Marseille DNB @ 2.02