France Ligue 1 – Montpellier v Metz Preview (24/9/16)

mhsc-metzMontpellier preview

  • Now winless and haven’t kept a clean sheet since the opening day of the season following a 5-1 mauling by Lyon in midweek.
  • Played nearly the whole contest with 10 men so could really feel the effects of that here.
  • Squad in good condition apart from youngster Morgan Poaty who is suspended.
  • Montpellier have generally looked ok this year but the big question is how they’ll respond to their midweek thrashing.

Metz preview

  • After an encouraging start to the season they slumped to a disappointing 0-3 home defeat in midweek against Bordeaux.
  • The step up to Ligue 1 level finally seemed to hit them and playing three games in seven games isn’t going to help.
  • Metz have a few injuries across the board and could be physically fatigued heading into this match. It will be a test on their squad.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Both teams suffered disappointing results in midweek and it’s a question of who can bounce back the best.
  • On paper, Metz have one of the worst squads in Ligue 1, but until Wednesday night had shown no sign of being out of their depth.
  • Montpellier are a big -1 favourite here which looks wrong to me. Metz aren’t that bad and Montpellier aren’t that great.
  • No result would surprise me here, but the hosts definitely aren’t a banker.
  • I am going to chance a small stake on Metz to win @ 7.0, which is really too big to ignore.
  • I would take the visitors +1, but don’t trust them enough to stake a full unit.

Prediction: 0-1

Recommended bet: 0.25 unit: Metz win @ 7.0

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