France Ligue 2 – Laval v Orleans Preview (9/9/16)

LAV-ORL

Laval preview

  • Winless and second bottom of the table having only scored 1 goal in 5 matches.
  • Desperately struggled to convert chances and will hope the signing of Dylan St Louis on loan from St Etienne will solve scoring crisis.
  • Defence is decimated with four players all ruled out who would be in contention to start.

Orleans preview

  • Won just a single game so far and head into this match on the back of successive 0-0s.
  • Some defensive worries with key man Joel Sami ruled out, along with starting keeper Oumar Sissokho rated highly doubtful.
  • Striker Livio Nabab returns from suspension and key playmaker Karim Ziani should be back to full fitness.

Conclusion

Laval are winless so far this season but must surely look at this match as a good chance to register three points. Facing a promoted team they simply have to push harder for once, and on this occasion it doesn't look like they’ll be able to rely on defence. A trio of starters are on the sidelines due to injury and suspension, so the backline will have a very makeshift and raw feel about it. For a side which depends on defensive solidity this is a massive concern. Laval are at full strength in midfield and attack with new striker Dylan St Louis set to make his debut. Orleans have some concerns themselves at the back with big man Joel Sami ruled out. It looks like reserve keepers Thomas Renault & Mpock will battle it out to start with Sissoko rated highly doubtful. This match might contain more goals than expected due to each side missing defensive starters, but both outfits are naturally negative and the draw is a massive runner. Perhaps a scoring draw of 1-1 is the most likely outcome.

Prediction: 1-1

Betting analysis

Laval are priced on a DNB handicap @ 1.80 which maybe aren't bad odds. They are a hardened Ligue 2 side and traditionally hard to beat at home. However, they do sometimes have issues facing the lesser teams and find it hard to score goals. Orleans will probably come here looking for a point, even though they should probably target more considering who they are playing, especially with Laval’s defensive absences. Neither side convinces me here and with a high chance of a draw, I’m not interested in the match market. Over 2 goals is priced @ 1.92 and this is a slight temptation. But taking a bet based on defensive absences isn’t always a great idea. Probably the most important thing to consider here are tactics and style. Both sides will probably fear defeat too much and it could be a low tempo sort of match which is quite cagey. I’ll leave this one alone although logically it’d be a surprise if either side managed to keep a clean sheet.

Recommended bet: None