France Ligue 2 – Niort v Nimes Preview (9/9/16)

NIORT-NO

Niort preview

  • Winless after throwing away a 2-0 lead against Bourg-en-Bresse just prior to the international break.
  • Lost their last home match 1-4 against  mediocre Tours.
  • Right back Tristan Lahaye is their only main absentee due to injury.
  • The squad lacks depth and is one of the poorest in the division.

Nimes preview

  • Another winless team and have lost 2 of their 3 home matches so far.
  • Have played alright in between both boxes but struggled to convert chances and made individual errors at the back.
  • Have signed left winger Christian Kouakou on loan from Caen who should make a big difference, adding to their creativity.
  • Left back Zie Diabate & central midfielder Teji Savanier are both suspended but they have no injury concerns.

Conclusion

The home side has won this fixture in 11 of the last 12 meetings. This is a bit of a strange anomaly and some might say a suspicious one. I know a few of the fixtures between these sides have been a bit weird and it’s not usually the sort of match you want to get involved in. Right now, both sides are winless and lacking confidence. Nimes seem to be playing alright but certain things are letting them down and they are finding ways to fuck up games. This isn't a great trait to have, but Niort are in the same boat. The big difference is that the hosts simply haven't looked good in any department thus far. I don't rate them at all and I think Les Chamois are a massive candidate to go down. I find this match hard to predict but I’ll stick with the recent H2H record and say Niort find a way to win what could be an ugly match.

Prediction: 1-0

Betting analysis

I might be predicting Niort to win, but that certainly doesn’t mean I’ll be betting on them! Bad things happen when you bet on bad teams and I certainly have Niort in that bracket. The hosts are on a -0.25 handicap @ around the 2.05 mark and this looks pretty fair to me. I really find the match outcome very hard to predict here so it makes sense to leave it alone. The goal line is set at 2.25 which looks about right too. Niort have been involved in a couple of recent high scorers, whilst I always class Nimes as an over type team under the management of Bernhard Blaquart. I have no real confidence in how this game will play out though, so I’m happy to leave it alone.

Recommended bet: None

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