France Ligue 2 – Strasbourg v Valenciennes Preview (1/10/16)

rcs-vaStrasbourg preview

  • Suffered just one loss all season but a recent run of just 1 win in 6 has hindered their progress.
  • Nevertheless, they are strong at home and a win would put them on the back of the leaders once again.
  • Regular defensive duo Ernest Seka & Eric Marester both miss this match because of injury. Seka is an influential figure, yet to miss a game this term.
  • Pacey striker Stephan Bahoken is ruled out too, but key midfielder Jeremy Grimm returns.
  • Strasbourg have only scored 9 goals in 9 games which is significantly less than most other teams in the promotion hunt.

Valenciennes preview

  • Somehow managed to lose against local rivals Lens last week, succumbing to a last minute goal in a match they should’ve won.
  • Have drawn 5 of their 9 matches and are usually hard to beat. Lack of victories often hinders their progress though.
  • The defensive duo of Ahmed Kantari & Loris Nery - who would both be starters, are ruled out.
  • Their gameplan away from home is usually quite negative and I don’t expect them to take too many risks here.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Both teams have drawn 3 of their 9 matches 0-0 and are no strangers to an all square match.
  • Strasbourg are 1.75 favourites which looks too short. This is a tough place to visit and they are well supported but there isn’t such a big difference between the two teams.
  • The defensive absences on each side might make a difference but this still has an overall feel of a really tight match.
  • If I was to take anything here then it’d be Valenciennes +0.75. They rarely lose a match and if they do, it’s most likely by a tight margin.
  • However, the risk of a 1-0 or 2-0 win is too high. Strasbourg could easily grab a goal and then just try to hold on.
  • Overall, I’m happy to swerve this match. Ligue 2 has been really difficult for me to predict of late and I will wait until after the international break to lick my wounds in it.

Prediction: 0-0

Recommended bet: None