France Ligue 2 – Valenciennes v Ajaccio Preview (16/9/16)

va-aca

Valenciennes preview

  • Only lost once all season which was away at Brest, so no disgrace.
  • Kept 4 out of 6 clean sheets and possess some good defenders.
  • Rarely lose at home, although can have a tendency to draw too many.
  • Injuries kept to a minimum and squad in good condition.

Ajaccio preview

  • Lost 3 of their last 4 games and their form has dropped since an encouraging start.
  • Kept no clean sheet since the opening day of the season.
  • Known for being poor away from home, rarely win on the road.
  • Squad in excellent health minus long term casualty Joris Sainati (CB)

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Valenciennes very generously priced on a DNB or -0.25 handicap.
  • Obvious home pick here. Strong in front of their own fans whilst Ajaccio usually terrible away.
  • Not expecting a classic but a 1-0 or 2-0 win seems the favourite.
  • Take your choice with handicap, I prefer to be more aggressive with a -0.25 line.
  • Fairer odds would be close to 1.80 on this handicap, so great value.

Prediction: 2-0

Recommended bet 1 unit: Valenciennes -0.25 @ 2.12