Tippeligaen – Brann v Tromso Preview (25/9/16)

brann-tilBrann preview

  • Back up to second in the table following a 3-1 win at Bodo last week which was their first in five games.
  • Have a superb 8-3-0 home record and only conceded two goals in front of their own fans all season.
  • Have some absences all over the field. First choice keeper Piotr Leciejewski is rated doubtful, whilst centre back Bismar Acosta is suspended.
  • In midfield Kristoffer Barman is doubtful and experienced attacker Daniel Braaten is suspended.
  • Brann have had to deal with a lot of absences recently so might be used to the situation, but it’s not ideal.

Tromso preview

  • A run of 3 wins in 4 games has propelled them six points clear of the relegation zone and safety seems more assured now.
  • Have improved on the road this season but now lost 3 of their last 4 away trips.
  • Played in the midweek NM Cup and were knocked out on penalties after a valiant effort facing Rosenborg.
  • Recovery, both physical and mental will be extremely difficult for Tromso here.
  • Left back Kent Are Antonsen is suspended for this trip to Brann.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Brann are an extremely good home team and Tromso aren’t usually that great on the road so many things point towards a Brann victory.
  • The added physical and mental fatigue from their midweek cup loss will likely only hinder Tromso and has to be considered a negative factor.
  • The bookies aren’t taking any chances though and have Brann priced up between a -1 and -0.75 handicap.
  • This is awkward and annoying because the most likely scorelines are 1-0 or 2-0. How can you profit in this instance?
  • Tromso have been playing quite well recently so I’m willing to swerve this game. I’m fairly sure Brann will win but there’s no guarantees it’d be by a large margin.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: None

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