Tippeligaen – Sarpsborg v Viking Preview (24/9/16)

ss-vikSarpsborg preview

  • Their good mid-season form seems to have ended now with only 1 win in their last 6 games.
  • They were disappointingly thrashed in the midweek cup away against Bodo Glimt (0-4) just to add to their poor run.
  • Squad condition in good health with only a couple of injuries to worry about. Key midfielder Anders Tronsden is rated doubtful due to an ongoing case of glandular fever.
  • Sarpsborg generally have a good home record in 2017, but have now lost 2 of their last 3 in front of their own fans.

Viking preview

  • Won for the first time in six games last weekend when they beat Molde 1-0.
  • Hard fought victory for Viking in which their defence was strong.
  • Goalscoring continues to be a big problem for the Stavanger side. Quite simply, too many opportunities get missed for them.
  • Viking have the third best away record in the Tippeligaen, winning 6 of their 12 road games so far.
  • Squad in good condition with only left back Kristoffer Haugen rated doubtful because of injury.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • With the exception of Start, this is a battle between the two lowest scoring teams in the Tippeligaen.
  • With that in mind, it’s surprising to see over 2.5 goals an odds-on shot.
  • The strength of both sides lies in midfield and defence, not going forwards.
  • This is likely to be a tight game which could be decided by one goal. It’s a question who takes that big chance when it arrives.
  • Sarpsborg a -0.25 favourite which is fair, but their current form is poor and I can’t trust them anymore.
  • Viking will also have a fitness advantage having not played in midweek.
  • Something like a goalless draw is possible, but my prediction is for Viking to sneak a tight 1-0 victory. Overall, I’m happy not to get involved in the game.

Prediction: 0-1

Recommended bet: None

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