Tippeligaen – Stabaek v Rosenborg Preview (11/9/16)

STAB-RBK

Stabaek preview

The hosts are fighting for their lives and have only lost one match since new coach Toni Ordinas took over. But because of their shocking start to the season they are still located third from bottom, which would result in them facing a relegation playoff match against the third placed OBOS-Ligaen side. Stabaek are certainly heading in the right direction although face a difficult task here. Many people will expect them to lose against Rosenborg and Ordinas will probably just see this as a bonus fixture in which they have nothing to lose. The squad has been in good condition recently and there’s confidence within the team. A lot of sides in and around the relegation zone are nervous, but that’s not really the case with Stabaek because they’ve been playing catch up for such a long time.

Rosenborg preview

The defending champions are a massive 15 points clear at the top of the table and have all bet secured another gold medal. At this rate it won't be very long until they can officially celebrate their success again. Rosenborg are a class apart in Norway and no team can come close to them when they are in the mood. The rest of this season is now about trying to secure another double and be as professional as possible,. This team rarely seems to lack motivation so I’m expecting them to produce another good performance here. As usual, the squad looks set to be in pretty good condition, although winger Yan De Lanlay is ruled out for the rest of the season with a serious injury. RBK have such great depth that they could field a second string side and still have too much for most teams though!

Conclusion & betting analysis

Rosenborg will probably win this match but they are on a -1 asian handicap line and I’m never totally sure I can trust them on the road. RBK have only won 5 of their 11 away matches and if they do have an achilles heel, it’s on their travels. Stabaek are a plucky team and unlikely to go down easily. I’m sure Toni Ordinas will fight fire with fire and try to utilise the attacking weapons at his disposal. In 6 of his 8 games in charge both teams have scored and the majority of fixtures ended over 2.5. Rosenborg aren’t particularly renowned for high scoring away games but I see this fixture panning out in similar fashion to how they beat Lillestrom 4-3. Over 2.75 goals @ 1.85 looks like a perfectly acceptable bet. There’s enough firepower on both sides to fully cover this line and I don’t think this’ll be a boring contest by any means.

Prediction: 1-3
Recommended bet 1 unit: Over 2.75 goals @ 1.81 (minimum odds acceptable 1.70)

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