France Ligue 1 – Toulouse v Monaco Preview (14/10/16)

tfc-asmToulouse preview

  • A surprise defeat 0-1 against Caen last time out snapped an impressive run of three straight wins.
  • Toulouse are still highly situated fourth in the table though and the last time they played in front of their own fans they beat PSG 2-0.
  • The squad composition remains very similar to what it's been in recent weeks, although striker Ola Toivonen is suspended.
  • TFC still have a 100% home record and coach Pascal Dupraz has a superb record here since taking over, winning 7 out of 8 matches at Le Stade Toulouse.

Monaco preview

  • Currently sit second in the table after having won 6 out of 8 matches this season. They know they have to keep winning in order to stay ahead of PSG
  • Squad condition is good with the only notable absences being striker Falcao & winger Nabil Dirar.
  • A number of players have been involved in recent international duty and with an upcoming CL match against CSKA Moscow on Tuesday night, the starting XI will be very difficult to predict.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Monaco will attempt to try something PSG failed to achieve here a few weeks ago, and thats pick up at least a point.
  • This is a very tricky fixture for Monaco against a TFC side who have been massively resurgent ever since Pascal Dupraz took over as coach. This stadium has become a fortress again.
  • Monaco are favourites in between a DNB & -0.25 line and the bookies have given Toulouse some respect. But some might argue there’s still value to be had on the hosts.
  • This is a really hard match to bet on. I rate and respect both sides and I don’t really want to bet against either of them. My personal feeling is this will end up as a home win or a draw.
  • Monaco have a great knack of getting results through with whatever side they field, even if it looks weakened on paper.
  • I sense that both teams will score, but maybe the match might not go over. With a goal line of 2.25 @ around the 1.85 mark I wouldn’t be interested in taking the over though anyway.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None