France Ligue 2 – Red Star v Tours Preview (28/10/16)

rs-estac

Red Star preview

  • Ground out a hard fought 0-0 at Amiens on Monday night. This was their fifth scoreless draw of the season so far and rather sums Red Star up.
  • With the exception of the freak 3-3 against Nines, their offense has been terrible this season, scoring a combined 4 goals in the other 11 fixtures.
  • The exact same squad that featured on Monday night is retained. Their only absences are keeper Arnaud Balijon, out long term and the midfield duo Stephen R’manana & Ludovic Sylvestre.
  • Red Star have often struggled in front of their own fans in the last couple of years. Le Stade Jean Bouin is far from a fortress this season and they just don’t seem comfortable here.

Tours preview

  • Victory at home to Valenciennes last week (4-1) was just their second of the season and probably saved coach Fabien Mercadal his job.
  • Tours haven't generally had a problem scoring goals this season and have the second highest tally out of anyone in the bottom half.
  • Starting keeper Quentin Westberg isn’t included in the squad, whilst defender Roderic Filippi is suspended.
  • All of Tours’ midfield and attacking options are available for selection. Their away record isn’t too bad this season.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • The big question is whether or not the last Red Star home match, which ended 3-3 against Nimes was a one off or whether it will lead to more open contests here.
  • I personally think it was a freak and that normal service will be resumed tonight. That means expect a low scoring, tight contest with few chances.
  • Tours have the attacking ability to cause problems, but they were happy to sit back against Orleans in their previous away game, drawing 0-0. This is a very similar sort of opponent.
  • The goal line is set between 2 and 2.25 which seems about fair. I’m not really interested in betting this market.
  • Likewise, I have no interest in taking either team. Red Star are a -0.25 favourite which again seems quite correct. A low scoring draw is my prediction.

Prediction: 0-0

Recommended bet: None