France Ligue 1 – Guingamp v Nice Preview (30/11/16)

Guingamp preview

  • For the third straight game, Guingamp came from behind to equalise in the last 10 mins to earn a draw. This team has some great fighting spirit and never knows when it's beaten. Les Costamoricains remain in fifth place which is an excellent position at the end of November, far higher than they expected.
  • Antoine Kombouare’s men are unbeaten at home this season, winning four timers and drawing twice at Le Stade Roudourou. EAG have only conceded three goals in front of their own fans.
  • Injury news is favourable with both right back Jordan Ikoko and midfielder Etienne Didot returning from injury. Striker Sloan Privat is ruled out but he’s only really been used primarily as a bench/ impact player recently.

Nice preview

  • Les Aiglons were still top of the pile entering this round of matches. Monaco’s draw on Tuesday night also aids their cause. However, Nice themselves have been far from perfect of late and cracks are starting to appear.
  • Defeat at Caen and a draw at home to Bastia have to be classed as dropped points. Now they face an even tougher match away to high flying Guingamp, and they’ll travel without key striker Mario Balotelli who remains injured.
  • The rest of the Nice squad isn’t in bad condition but we could see some rotation. The visitors have been involved in the Europa League this season so are used to playing midweek, but it’s still a physical detriment and I’ve seen recent signs of fatigue in this squad.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Nice have a fairly good record in this fixture, winning in 3 of their last 4 visits to Le Stade Roudourou. This includes a memorable 7-2 victory a couple of years ago!  However, right now it looks like they’ll be in for a difficult night.
  • Guingamp are really hard to beat at the moment, especially at home. This match has a really strong feeling of a draw about it. The bookies can’t seem to separate either team and a DNB handicap is offered. This seems about fair.
  • There’s a chance this could be an open game of football. But without Mario Balotelli I don’t think the overs can really be backed in any Nice game. When over 2.25 is around the 1.90 mark, there simply isn’t enough temptation.
  • There is nothing here which appeals to me and it’s another game I’m happy to leave alone. If I was to bet anything it would actually be directly on the draw. I just don’t see either team getting beaten here.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None