France Ligue 1 – Nancy v Metz Preview (30/11/16)

Nancy preview

  • Perhaps unconvincingly, Nancy have managed to only suffer one defeat in their last five games. That was the freak 0-6 against Monaco and can almost be classed as an exception. Nancy have otherwise looked fairly solid at the back, keeping three clean sheets.
  • This is still a poor team and nowhere near as enterprising as they were last season in Ligue 2. Nancy lack the offensive firepower or gameplan to be much of a threat in Ligue 1. They are going to have to fight for their lives to avoid relegation.
  • The coach has decided to stay faithful with most of the players who have been picking up the positive results recently. Y#This means that the likes of Mickael Chretien & Eric Cabaco at the back are left out. In attack, Anthony Robic is ditched in favour of pacey forward Anthony Koura.

Metz preview

  • Les Grenats did well to come from 1-3 down to draw 3-3 against Lorient at the weekend. They are now unbeaten in three games and positioned in midtable. I still feel they are one of the weakest sides in Ligue 1, punching above their weight.
  • Key striker Mevlut Erding remains injured which is a blow. Maybe Thibaut Vion will come into the side here. He scored both the late goals that earned them a draw vs Lorient.
  • Metz have a surprisingly good away record, winning three times on their travels already. The six goals they've conceded on the road is one of the best records in the entire league.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • The first thing to mention here is that this is a big Lorraine derby between two teams who hate each other. It’s a massive occasion and for both sides these fixtures are easily their most important of the season.
  • Metz have a great record in these contests, only losing 1 of the last 13 head to head meetings. Both games between the two ended as draws in the second tier last season.
  • Nancy are -0.25 favourites and this seems about fair. They are the most likely victors due to home advantage. I also think they might be slightly better than Metz, although there’s not an awful lot to choose between the two sides. Neither is particularly good at Ligue 1 level.
  • It’s going to be a nervous affair and literally anything could happen. The two results last season, 2-2 and 0-0 demonstrate this. It could be an open affair or tight and cagey, I really have no idea which way it’ll go.
  • With matches like this, unless you have a strong feeling or there is a clear edge for a certain side, then the best option is always to refrain from betting.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None