France Ligue 1 – Bordeaux v Monaco Preview (10/12/16)

Bordeaux preview

  • Defeat at home to Lille last week was their first in seven games. Although I’m not totally sure how they lost that game and were pretty unlucky.
  • This is the first time this season that Bordeaux will face one of the top sides at home. So it’s difficult to know exactly how they’ll approach the fixture.
  • Les Girondins have a sprinkling of injuries across the board. A couple of newer casualties are left back Maxime Poundje & striker Diego Rolan.
  • Bordeaux have only kept one clean sheet in their last nine games and could struggle to keep out the Monaco juggernaut here.

Monaco preview

  • Leonardo Jardim’s side are back up to second place after thrashing Bastia 5-0 last week. Les Monegasques have remarkably now scored 49 goals in just 16 games.
  • The south coast side have incredible offensive weapons this season and loads of strength in depth. They have no injuries or suspensions ahead of this game and the coach has a full compliment of players to choose from.
  • If Monaco do have an achilles heel, then it’s their road play. They have only won 1 of their last 4 away games and last time out failed to beat newly promoted Dijon (1-1).

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Monaco are certainly the better team and nobody can argue with them being favourites here. In general, the visitors are on a -0.25 line which could look generous come the final whistle.
  • There is more of an element of unpredictability about Monaco on the road though and they can throw in the occasional stinker. If they play like they did at Dijon then Bordeaux will have every chance.
  • The hosts of course are rather unpredictable themselves, capable of anything. I think they’ll be competitive here but they might need to score at least two goals in order to get a result.
  • The over line is set at 2.5 around the 1.85 mark. Monaco do get involved in a lot of high scoring matches but this feels too skinny to me.
  • A higher scoring away win is the most likely outcome, but I’m happy to leave this game alone.

Prediction: 1-2

Recommended bet: None