France Ligue 1 – Caen v Dijon Preview (2/12/16)

Caen preview

  • Defeat at Lille on Tuesday night was their sixth in ten games. The Normandie side are now inside the relegation zone and have endured a poor season so far.
  • Home form is better at least. They’ve beaten the likes of Nice, Toulouse and should’ve beaten Guingamp last time out at Le Stade Michel D’Ornano. They are much stronger in front of their own fans.
  • Caen rested a few players on Tuesday night but should revert back to their best XI here. They are at full strength in midfield and attack, although are missing some players at the back.
  • The most significant is goalkeeper Remy Vercoutre. Without him in midweek they conceded four goals, and maybe he’d have saved a couple. Fullbacks Imorou & Dabo remain out, whilst there are fitness doubts surrounding centre back Yahia.

Dijon preview

  • Les Rouges surprised everyone by drawing against Monaco on Tuesday night (1-1). This was done despite fielding a weakened team but they deserved the draw.
  • The result and performance shows just how much of a team Dijon are. There is a strong camaraderie amongst the players and a willingness to fight for each other.
  • DFCO haven’t actually won any of their last five games though and are hovering just above the relegation zone. Their away record is also poor, with 5 out of 7 defeats.
  • Squad condition is good with only long term injuries missing out. They rotated the squad against Monaco so key players should be nicely refreshed ahead of this game.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Both sides picked up contrasting results in midweek. Caen coach Patrice Garande slammed his side for a lack of determination and desire. It wouldn’t surprise me to see them put in a much better performance here.
  • Dijon surprised everyone, but Monaco were pretty bad against them and it was a strange match. Their away form doesn’t fill me with much confidence, but if they fancy their chances this is a good fixture for them.
  • Neither defence convinces me at the moment so I like over 2.25 goals. I just feel like this is a game both will fancy winning and there’s no reason for it to be a tight tense affair.
  • Caen are an inconsistent side and I think they’ll win. But their price looks quite fair. We must remember that Dijon were 2 mins away from beating Bordeaux away last weekend (somehow eventually losing!) so I’ll swerve this market and stick with the over.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet 1 unit: Over 2.25 goals @ 1.80