France Ligue 1 – Lille v Montpellier Preview (10/12/16)

Lille preview

  • Things are going well for Lille caretaker boss Patrice Collot. He is unbeaten since taking over and LOSC have picked up 7 points out of a possible 9 under him.
  • The players seem to be responding positively to the departure of Frederic Antonetti. They were perhaps lucky to beat Bordeaux last weekend but it might be a sign of things starting to go their way.
  • Collot is fortunate that most of the Lille injuries have cleared up. Apart from the usual long term injuries like Eric Bautheac & Ryan Mendes, the only real significant casualty is defensive midfielder Rio Mavuba. Lille have played better without him in the side though!
  • For the most part, goal scoring is an issue for Les Dogues. But the four they netted against Caen in their most recent home game has to give them some sort of belief going forwards.

Montpellier preview

  • MHSC shocked everyone by beating PSG 3-0 last week. It was one of those matches in which everything went right for Frederic Hantz’s men and they were clinical in the final third.
  • For the most part, the visitors are in pretty good form, only losing 2 of their last 9 games. They have tightened up at the back too, only conceding 2 goals in their last 4 games. Despite this, Montpellier have one of the worst overall defensive records in the entire division.
  • Veteran defender Vitorino Hilton is injured and left back Jerome Roussillon misses out too. In attack, Stephane Sessegnon serves the final game of his three match suspension.
  • MHSC are a dangerous away team but have yet to win on the road this year, drawing four and losing four games on their travels.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Both sides should head into the contest in good spirits. Lille are back in form under their new caretaker manager, whilst Montpellier must be over the moon after beating PSG last week.
  • That victory might work against Montpellier though and there’s a good chance of overconfidence here. Lilie have home advantage and are definitely the most likely victors.
  • However, around the 2.0 mark, LOSC don’t appeal to too much. Montpellier might not have won on the road yet but they are a dangerous side with good attacking potential if they are in the mood.
  • I was very tempted to back over 2 goals here but due to the recent improvement to Montpellier’s defence, I’ll leave it alone. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if this game opened up though.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet: None