The Pharoah’s struggled against Mali, especially in the second half when they looked really gassed. The poor pitch here in Port-Gentil really caused them issues and maybe the team will have to adapt to suit it better today. It must be remembered that Egypt are a strong technical side and would prefer to keep the ball on the deck though. Two of their goalkeepers are injured which means 44 year old El Hadary will be starting again. The rest of the squad is in fine condition with no other new injuries.
The Cranes put up a plucky display against Ghana but ultimately fell to a 0-1 defeat. On another day they might easily have drawn the match, but also showed their limitations. This is a team that struggles to score goals and sometimes relies too much on it’s goalkeeper Denis Onyango. They threw the kitchen sink at Ghana the other night and I wonder how much is left in their tank. It could be a physical struggle for Uganda in this clash.
Conclusion & betting analysis
Egypt are a -0.75 favourite here which looks a bit too skinny. They are the better team and I do think they’ll win, but I’m not inclined to take anything on them. The pitch is poor and the Pharaohs were unconvincing against Mali. Uganda are under no pressure and it’s possible they could squeeze a 0-0 out of the match if they defend well. I would say a 1-0 or 2-0 Egypt win is the most likely outcome but at this sort of price I’m just not interested getting involved.
Recommended bet: None