Africa Cup of Nations – Senegal v Cameroon Preview (28/1/17)

Senegal preview

The Lions of Teranga were my idea of the potential winners of this tournament before a ball was kicked and my opinion hasn’t changed. They oozed class in the group stages, creating so many chances and looking like they could score at will. Defensively, there were a few question marks and perhaps some better teams might have taken advantage. But one thing we do know is that Senegal can outscore anyone if required and lean back on the likes of Sadio Mane to deliver the goods. Aliou Cisse’s men even had the luxury of resting all starters for the final group game. So everyone has had a nice rest and even the substitutes have had a full 90 mins under their belt to gain match fitness. Everything seems to be in fine working order for the newly installed tournament favourites.Probably the only team that can beat them themselves, should they feel the pressure mentally.

Cameroon preview

It would’ve been a cruel way to go out, but Cameroon were a post and save away from losing in the last minute to Gabon on the final group game. Defeat would’ve seen them exit the tournament but it would've been harsh because the Indomitable Lions were probably the best team in Group A overall. Somehow, it became a tough slog to make it through, a few chances missed here and there would’ve been to blame. Cameroon have impressed me from an offensive point of view in this event and possess dangerous players like Moukandjo, Bassagog & Aboubakar. There is a doubt whether Bassagog will be fit in time for this game and missing him would be a blow due to his good performances so far.

Conclusion & betting analysis

The way both these two teams play is lights out and attacking football. I don’t expect much to change here unless the occasion gets to each set of players. It is a big game but the strength of each outfit is in attack, not at the back. The first bet I like is Senegal on a -0.25 line. I rate them as the better side and with a full week of rest under their belt, this should aid them even more. Cameroon have just looked too soft in places and I expect someone like Sadio Mane and the opposition cavalry to take advantage. Cameroon should be able to fight fire with fire though and I expect them to score here. Senegal were lucky to keep a couple of clean sheets against Tunisia & Zimbabwe. Their ‘reserve’ team shipped goals facing Algeria and this is just the way Senegal play, wide open at times. Over 2 goals looks a really generous price close to the 2.08 mark. How can this line be so low when you consider how both have played in this tournament. This should be a wide open affair containing numerous chances so I’ll happily hit the over button here.

Prediction: Senegal 3-1 Cameroon

Recommended bet 1 unit: Senegal -0.25 @ 1.70 (minimum odds acceptable 1.65)

Recommended bet 1 unit: Over 2 goals @ 2.08 (minimum odds acceptable 1.85)