France Ligue 2 – Le Havre v GFC Ajaccio Preview (20/1/17)

Le Havre preview

  • Coach Oswald Tanchot remains under pressure thanks to a poor 0-0 draw away at Nimes last week. Facing a depleted side, they were lucky to obtain a point and would probably have lost if their opponents were anywhere close to full strength.
  • HAC’s winless run has now stretched to six games in a row, which quite simply isn’t good enough for a squad of their abilities. They need to snap out of their funk quickly.
  • Quite why they have performed so poorly this season I’m not sure. On paper, they have a very good squad, one of the best in the league. HAC have hardly had any injuries or suspensions, the plain truth is that the players haven't performed well enough.
  • The Normandy outfit have the fifth worst home record in the league and unlike last season, Le Stade Oceane has been far from a fortress.
  • Midfielder Jean Pascal Fontaine is injured, but captain and centre back Steven Fortes is back in the squad. He could transfer out of the club before the end of the month due to the high interest in his abilities.

GFC Ajaccio preview

  • The Corsican outfit won last week to move up to 11th place. They are the proper definition of a midtable outfit right now with mixed results, capable of anything.
  • The only consistent thing about them at the moment is their poor away form which reads just 1 win in 8 games. They started the season well on the road but have since been awful, hardly offering any sort of threat going forwards.
  • Squad condition unknown with no news yet to come out of the squad regarding the group of players selected tonight.
  • One certainty is that midfielder Remi Mulumba is on African Nations Cup duty. New on loan signings Said Benrahma and Olivier Kemen could be in line to make their starting debuts.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • One of my tactics in recent weeks has been to bet against GFCA on the road. They simply don’t perform well on their travels and if I had any sort of faith in Le Havre then I’d pull the trigger here.
  • How can HAC be trusted though? Something clearly isn’t right with them and their lack of goals in recent weeks is especially worrying. On paper they have all the talent in the world but aren't delivering.
  • The hosts can be backed on a -0.25 handicap around the 2.05 mark, which has given me some food for thought. If they were on a juicy DNB line then I’d possibly be tempted.
  • I don’t anticipate a high scoring match and a 0-0 or 1-1 draw could certainly occur. Le Havre won’t get a better chance to snap their funk against a really poor away side. But they were in a favourable situation last week too and struggled at Nimes.
  • I’m happy to leave this match alone. Gun to my head then I think Le Havre can sneak a small victory. But they are so unreliable and out of form at the moment to only sensible option is to refrain from betting.

Prediction: 1-0

Recommended bet: None