Africa Cup of Nations Final – Egypt v Cameroon Preview (5/2/17)

Egypt preview

Somehow, the Pharoah’s have made the final. They have been fairly unconvincing throughout this tournament but now have the chance to win a fourth straight African Nations Crown (when entered) which would be a fantastic achievement. The big strength of Egypt is at the back where they’ve only conceded one goal. However, a big factor to consider is they played 4 of their 5 game at the horrible Port Gentil Stadium which has a shocking pitch. I think it’s fair to say Burkina Faso should've scored more than one goal against them in the semi final, maybe Cameroon won’t be so wasteful today. Egypt perhaps haven't shown their true attacking qualities in this event, so watch out for a potential improvement in the final third. But it was worrying how tired and leggy they looked on Wednesday night and it could be a physical challenge here.

Cameroon preview

The Indomitable Lions were extremely unfancied at the start of the tournament. A number of key players weren't selected or didn't want to play for them in Gabon. But team unity has been excellent and this group of players have really worked hard for each other. I also think that coach Hugo Broos has been excellent tactically, producing a number of different gameplans to keep the opposition guessing. To shut out the trio of Gabon, Senegal & Ghana in consecutive matches is a great achievement. A number of unsung heros like goalkeeper Ondoa and big centre back Teikeu are one of the main reasons why they've done so well. Cameroon do possess some fine attacking players too though, with captain Benjamin Moukandjo a key player for them. Striker Vincent Aboubakar hasn’t been used as often as I expected, but is a pacy and potentially impactful substitute if and when required.

Conclusion & betting analysis

I totally respect Egypt, they are an extremely tough side to beat and have shown great defensive qualities in this tournament. But for me, Cameroon are the better team at the moment. They look the more complete package and in better physical condition. I think it’s fair to say Egypt have yet to face a really strong attacking team in this tournament. They certainly haven't been tested much on a better technical surface, apart from Wednesday night when Burkina Faso really should've scored a number of goals against them. I think Cameron will be more clinical and find a way to win. Therefore, backing the Indomitable Lions on a DNB handicap around the even money mark makes sense to me. I wouldn't be surprised if this match went to extra time or penalties but I just give the edge to Cameroon and I’m willing to back them to claim this trophy today.

Prediction: Egypt 1-2 Cameroon

Recommended bet 1 unit: Cameroon DNB @ 2.02 (minimum odds acceptable 1.85)