France Ligue 1 – Bordeaux v PSG Preview (10/2/17)

Bordeaux preview

  • Despite being unconvincing in a number of matches, Bordeaux have managed to go unbeaten in six league games which is a fairly good return. Tuesday night’s win at Caen 4-0 was one of their best performances of the year.
  • Team selection is often extremely variable with Les Girondins and I have no doubt that coach Jocelyn Gourvennec will rotate his troops around yet again. Centre back Igor Lewczuk and attacker Adam Ounas are both still injured, but nobody else of significance is ruled out.
  • Bordeaux only have a mediocre home record (5-4-3) and tend to reserve some of their poorer displays here in front of their own fans. They should enjoy being underdogs tonight though with no real expectations on their shoulders.
  • Les Girondins competed reasonably well against PSG in a recent cup semi final here, holding out 1-1 until the hour mark. The coach said they will ‘try 300%’ to get a result and motivation is very high. Bordeaux will be treating this like a cup final.

PSG preview

  • A late winner at home to Lille on Tuesday night has kept the defending champions three points behind Monaco in the table. PSG were far from their best and nearly let another couple of points slip through their fingers but eventually got the job done.
  • PSG have a massive upcoming Champions League match against Barcelona on Tuesday night. It would be understandable if that match was in the minds of the players and also the coach. Some possible resting of key players is possible tonight.
  • Since the winter break things have generally been positive for unai Emery’s men though They've won every fixture in both league and cups combined, with the exception of a 1-1 draw against Monaco. Their full swagger isn't totally back yet, but there’s been some signs of it.
  • New signing Julian Draxler has made a positive impact and can be attributed to one of the reasons why they’ve improved. He could be one of those bench rested tonight though and uncertainty remains over the starting XI combination.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Bordeaux are such an inconsistent side that anything is possible with them. It wouldn't surprise me if they played really well and picked up a positive result here. But on the other hand if they got blown out of the water it wouldn't be a total shock either.
  • Of course, a lot depends what sort of mood PSG are in too. There is some suggestion that they could be distracted by the upcoming Barcelona clash, which would be understandable. Even if Unai Emery names a weakened team then PSG will still be formidable tonight though, such is their strength in depth.
  • The visitors are favourites around the 1.65 mark which is probably about right. I think they’ll win overall, but whether or not they cover a -0.75 or -1 handicap could all depend on if they grab a late goal towards the end, presuming Bordeaux gamble by pushing men forwards.
  • Backing the visitors therefore seems relatively little value pre game. If it becomes obvious they are in the mood and playing well then it would be wise to strike in-running.
  • The over/under line is set at 2.5 and seems about right. Both sides tend to be very inconsistent with this sort of thing and as aforementioned, the difference could be if PSG grabbed something like a stoppage time goal. There is no need to get involved in this match and I’ll just sit and watch.

Prediction: 1-2

Recommended bet: None

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