France Ligue 2 – Laval v Red Star Preview (10/2/17)

Laval preview

  • Les Tangos’ six game unbeaten run has come to an end after they lost 2-1 away against Orleans in midweek. Somehow, they blew an extremely favourable position by conceding two goals in the space of two minutes late on.
  • New coach Marco Simone has only won a couple of games out of ten so far, but Laval have proved hard to beat under him. A whopping five draws have already been obtained under his stewardship.
  • Performances have been reasonably good and the general consensus is that they probably should've picked up more points. That has certainly been the case here at home.
  • Key attacker Dylan St Louis is injured tonight and won’t feature. He’s not been in the greatest of form anyway. However, Laval do lack firepower so taking away any sort of weapon upfront is far from ideal. The rest of the squad is in fairly good condition, minus long term absences to less important players.

Red Star preview

  • The visitors have looked much improved since the winter break under a new management team. In total, they’ve picked up seven points from five games but with a bit more luck they could’ve obtained even more.
  • The Parisian outfit have improved in all areas of the pitch. Their lack of goals is still somewhat of a concern but at least they are hitting the back of the net in most games.
  • Squad condition is pretty good and only one change is enforced upon them here. Centre back Jerome Hergault is suspended so Naby Sarr will come in as a replacement.
  • Red Star have the third worst away record in the league, but a victory at Brest and draw against Le Havre in recent weeks is evidence of their improvement, so the statistics under the previous manager perhaps have to be discounted somewhat.

Conclusion & betting analysis

  • Red Star have a few advantages heading into this contest. Firstly, they’ve have 24 hours extra recovery time which could be crucial in periods like this when there has been a midweek round. Laval had to endure late heartbreak on Tuesday night so both physical and mental fatigue could be problematic.
  • I have a feeling Red Star will actually be better suited to away games under their current setup, They have the type of players who could do well in this sort of situation. It helps their cause that defensively they seem pretty solid right now.
  • Overall, I don't expect this to be much of a classic. Both teams have issues scoring goals and the likelihood is that each outfit will set up quite defensively.
  • Laval are -0.25 favourites and this seems about right. The goal line in between 1.75 and 2.0 can’t be argued too much either. I think a draw or a tight away win is the most likely outcome but nothing really interests me from a betting point of view.
  • Laval are finding ways to drop points at the moment so if they continue this trend then I would be very reluctant to back the home team.

Prediction: 0-1

Recommended bet: None