Le Havre did well on Monday and deservedly beat Lens 1-0. Their motivation was questionable heading into that contest but they answered any critics with a good performance. However, I'm going to have to question their motivation again here because realistically nothing much is a stake. I can’t ignore how poor they were in their most recent away game, lucky to only lose 0-2 against Amiens. I personally think Strasbourg are a better team than Amiens, and as long as the pressure of the situation doesn’t get to them tonight, then I’m expecting a fairly easy home win.
Le Havre are missing a few players which won’t help the visitors either. Strasbourg seem like the big form team at the end of this season so I’m happy to ride with them here. I’ll take a -0.75 handicap in case they only win by one goal, but I think something like a 2-0 or 3-0 win is on the cards. The value isn’t huge here. As you might expect with a team that ‘needs’ to win, the odds are lower than usual. But I feel the price is still just about acceptable.
Recommended bet 1 unit: Strasbourg -0.75 @1.82 (minimum odds acceptable 1.75)
Player importance explanation: K =Key, X =Regular XI starter, B = Bench player