I personally see Toronto winning this game fairly comfortably. The value perhaps isn't there on a -1 line, around the 1.90 mark it’s a tad too short for my liking. However, I wouldn't want to put anyone off taking the hosts because they are definitely the better team. My preferred bet is to take over 3 goals. We have seen signs in recent matches that TFC are starting to fire offensively, with Sebastian Giovinco especially looking hot. When he starts to play like this then watch out, because he goes on great streaks of scoring. I wouldn't be at all surprised if he bagged two or even a hat trick here.
Houston themselves are one of the highest scoring teams in the division and possess plenty of threat upfront. The likes of Torres, Ellis and Quioto have all looked hot this year and I think the Dynamo will score tonight. Toronto are badly missing key defender Drew Moor and they aren't anywhere near as solid without him around. I see an end to end sort of game with lots of chances, and hopefully a lot of goals. The extra class of TFC should ultimately shine through. Houston put up a good fight at Portland the other week but lost 2-4, and I could see something similar occurring again really. Over 3 goal is my call for this game, at worst I’m expecting a push.
Recommended bet 1 unit: Over 3 goals @2.09 (minimum odds acceptable 1.85)
Player importance explanation: K =Key, X =Regular XI starter, B = Bench player