Two of the most exciting teams in MLS meet here and it should be pulsating clash. Atlanta have the worst home record in the Eastern Conference, and New York City one of the best on the road. But don’t let this fool anyone. United have only played four games in front of their own fans, suffering a couple of harsh defeats in the process. They looked excellent against Houston last weekend, claiming a comfortable 4-1 win. Atlanta are well led by coach Gerardo Martino and play a lovely technical style which is nice on the eye to watch. On playmaker Miguel Almiron, they perhaps have the best player in the entire league right now, certainly in terms of form. Key striker Josef Martinez remains out injured, although is very close to a return and could possibly feature on the bench here.
New York City have had their ups and downs this season but right now appear to be in a good phase and are quite hot. They’ve only lost 1 of their last 5, and that particular defeat at RSL can almost be ignored because they rested half of their team due to fatigue in that clash. City caught the eye when they hammered Orlando 3-0 in Florida last week, one of the best away performances in MLS to date this season. When you look at the quality NYC possess on paper, it’s obvious they have to be respected anywhere, when in the right sort of mood. I would be a shock if they didn’t raise their level a bit here considering who the opposition are.
I would say the best NYC have played this season was in the reverse fixture in New York, which they won 3-1. So with that in mind it would probably be too risky to back Atlanta, even if their price isn't too bad. I actually think the home team will win here, but I respect City enough not to bet against them. Atlanta are on a -0.5 Asian Handicap around the 2.05 mark, and I wouldn’t want to put anyone off backing them. My personal preferred pick is over 3.25 goals though. These two teams look to match up extremely well in terms of style. Each love to attack and move the ball with pace, flair and skill. I think there will be a lot of chances here and surely enough of them will be taken for an over bet to cover. The line is set quite high at 3.25 but I’m still happy to back it. At worst, I could envisage a half loss but I see at least four goals being scored. It wouldn't surprise me if this game ended something silly like 3-2 either way.
Recommended bet 1 unit: Over 3.25 goals @2.01 (minimum odds acceptable 1.80)
Player importance explanation: K =Key, X =Regular XI starter, B = Bench player