Marseille results have improved recently, and they may well win this match. However, I don’t think it’ll be easy against a Caen side who have been surprisingly hard to break down this season. Their defensive record is fairly impressive and most of their matches are fairly tight, containing relatively few goals. A whopping 10/11 of their fixtures have ended under 2.5 and I’m willing to bet on that happening again. In fact, I’m surprised a 2.75 goal line is on offer. I’m guessing the presumption is that OM will easily win and could potentially run riot. But they played in the midweek Europa League so that distraction won't have helped them. I think the hosts will labour towards a victory, maybe 1-0 or 2-0. It’s possible Caen could even get a point here and surprise everyone. Either way, I’m not expecting a classic so I think unders on this 2.75 line is sensible.
Recommended bet 1 unit: Under 2.75 goals @1.89
Player importance explanation: K =Key, X =Regular XI starter, B = Bench player