This is an interesting game because statistically I think Montpellier aren't a bad value bet here. Either they are being underestimated or Amiens overestimated, I’m not sure. In my eyes the home team should be closer to a -1 Asian Handicap. However, betting value doesn’t always guarantee success and this might be a potentially hard match for Montpellier. They will be facing a side hard to break down and who will fight hard for everything in a physical way. I don’t expect this match to be a classic by any means and it’s a likely under. Ultimately, I think Montpellier may well find a way to win the game, just. But the risk of a 0-0 or 1-1 draw puts me off backing them. When you factor in the poor pitch at this stadium, and the possible chance of a thunderstorm at some point, I’m happy enough to leave this one alone, although on pure price MHSC are generous odds.
Recommended bet: None
Player importance explanation: K =Key, X =Regular XI starter, B = Bench player