My original intention was to avoid this game, but a couple of factors have swayed me to have a nibble on Le Havre. The first is actually the price and I believe we are getting a whole full line value on the hosts, who should be around the -0.25 mark. Secondly, two important Reims injuries might make the visitors unstable. Key man at the back Julien Jeanvier is a huge rock in the defence and missing him could be absolutely vital. In the middle of the park Xavier Chavalerin is an underrated player who contributes in many ways. The normal Reims tactic on the road against bigger teams is just to defend and keep things tight, but with a slightly different makeup of side, perhaps they won't find this so easy.
As far as Le Havre go, I struggle to make out this team but they are a decent outfit with a good home record. Nobody has beaten them in front of their own fans this season and they've claimed a few decent victories, including facing the likes of Lorient. Results over the weekend were favourable for HAC and a win would put them right on the coattails of the promotion contenders. It feels like this match matters more to the hosts, especially considering the fact Reims have a two point cushion at the top of the division. I’m not saying they will relax or anything but they know they’ll be two clear whatever the result tonight. Their away record of 5-0-2 has to be respected, but I don’t think Le Havre will lose this one so taking a DNB handicap seems a relatively safe play to me.
Recommended bet 1 unit: Le Havre DNB @1.97
Player importance explanation: K =Key, X =Regular XI starter, B = Bench player