Norway Eliteserien – Sandefjord v Ranheim Preview (11/4/18)

Match Preview

This is a battle between a couple of sides who may well ultimately be the two poorest teams in the Eliteserien. There is a long way to go this season but many people and the bookies still rate them both as the most likely to get relegated. Heading into the game each does have a 4-1 victory in the bag though, so there should be an element of confidence. Sandefjord beat Start and then drew with Stabaek, but I can’t help but feel they were lucky in both instances. On another day they might easily have lost both encounters. Only some really poor finishing and great goalkeeping form Eirik Johansen prevented them from defeat at the weekend. Luck seems to be on their side at the moment, but how long will it last?

Ranheim came back down to earth at the weekend going down 0-4 in Tromso. Truth be told, they were never really in the game and got outclassed. Prior to that, they were excellent beating Stabaek in their opening fixture, but I do wonder if that was a ‘one off’ flash in the pan. We must remember they are huge minnows in this league and effectively a semi professional outfit. It won’t be easy for them having to make two away trips in the space of a week, especially with one being up north in Tromso. This will be the first time this season they play on a natural grass surface and it’s probably not something they will enjoy.

The pitch here in Sandefjord looked extremely poor at the weekend and it wont play any better today either. It’s to be expected at this time of year really and I think Sandefjord will gain an edge by playing on it as opposed to Ranheim who are used to artificial surfaces. This is definitely a good time to be facing the newly promoted side and it looks to me like the home team are overpriced. I don't particularly rate them at the moment but they should have enough to collect the three points. Taking them on the nose close to the evens offers some value. By my estimations Sandefjord should be around the 1.75 mark here. They can use their extra Eliteserien experience, the favourable schedule dynamics, plus a couple of other factors to get over the line.

Prediction: 2-1

Recommended bet 1 unit: Sandefjord -0.5 @1.98

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vTMUwD2MH_q2hCR7qkYN3geYPGAusoX6owzgcheeCO1xcC3I8n7SHDWIZOE8KSefGHgL_y9Pyspbyxf/pubhtml?gid=1934953114&single=true