Norway Eliteserien – Start v Valerenga Preview (14/4/18)

Match Preview

It feels like Start’s fantastic opening day win against Tromso was a long time ago now. Since then, they've shown some defensive frailties against Sandefjord and Lillestrom and I am concerned at certain point of matches, they are coming under too much pressure and lacking discipline. Mark Dempsey is a good manager but maybe he needs more time to settle at the club and for all of his new players to gel properly. Let's remember that over ten guys were signed into the club during the transfer window and at times there is a frantic feeling about the team right now. Despite all that, they have some good quality, especially in midfield and attack and if their offense converts chances like it did against Tromso then they have to be taken seriously.

In a similar way to Start, it also feels like Valerenga’s opening two victories are now a long time in the past too. Since then, VIF have been exposed by quality teams in Sarpsborg and Stromsgodset. It’s clear they aren't at the level of those sort of teams yet, but they aren’t a bad side and will get more chances here. Ronny Deila won’t be happy with what's happened in their last two fixtures, so I would expect some sort of response. I think both outfits will be keen to prove the doubters wrong and put in a committed performance.

I don’t know who will win this match. To me, it feels like one of those sort of games which really could go either way. Neither team can really be trusted at the moment, but I think it should be an entertaining, end to end type of fixture. Over 2.5 goals massively stands out as a value bet to me. I think the correct line is over 2.75 at similar odds. The artificial pitch here should generate a good game of football and there is plenty of attacking talent on show at both ends of the field. In addition to some likely inconsistent defending, overs is definitely my call.

Prediction: 2-2

Recommended bet 1 unit: Over 2.5 goals @1.87

 
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vTMUwD2MH_q2hCR7qkYN3geYPGAusoX6owzgcheeCO1xcC3I8n7SHDWIZOE8KSefGHgL_y9Pyspbyxf/pubhtml?gid=1213051642&single=true