This is a meeting between two promoted teams and the H2H fixtures ended 0-0 and 2-0 (to Grenoble) respectively last season. Both sides have equipped themselves really well in Ligue 2, especially Grenoble who find themselves on 28 points and in promotion contention. They picked up a creditable 1-1 draw vs Metz at the weekend and before that held Lens 0-0 away. Grenoble have won 3 of their last 4 road games and will fancy their chances against a Beziers side yet to win in front of their own fans. Of course, things haven’t been helped by the fact that they aren’t playing at their natural home and instead forced to reside at Stade de la Mediterranee (rugby stadium in Beziers). They even had to play one game at a neutral venue in Montpellier so it’s no real surprise to see their home statistics reading 0-3-3.
I fancy Grenoble to win this game but their price isn’t that great. I am not personally convinced they deserve to be -0.25 favourites here and I would say a DNB line is fairer. They also had one day less to prepare for this fixture and might have exerted themselves a lot vs Metz on Saturday. Both sides are missing some players to injury in defensive areas and it’s possible there could be some rotation due to this being a midweek round. I think the value lies with over 2 goals. It’s noticeable that a lot of Grenoble road games have contained a good number of goals, apart from at Lorient and Lens when they were more defensive. This is the sort of fixture they should fancy winning though and I expect a more expansive game. It’s the sort of game in which neither should fear losing and fancy winning, so I think the overs is the best shout.
Recommended bet: Over 2 goals @2.01