Since firing Jean Luc Vasseur, Chateauroux have actually done surprisingly well. They’ve picked up 11 points from 6 games, including 3 victories all by a 1-0 margin. Les Berrichonne have also kept 4 clean sheets during this period and have looked very solid under their new coach Nicolas Usai. I have to give him credit because this isn't a very talented squad. I wasn’t sure that a change of coach would solve their problems, but Usai has certainly enjoyed a strong honeymoon - which is perhaps due to come to an end. My big concern with Chateauroux is a lack of firepower. They don't score goals very easily and now that key man upfront Oumare Tounkara is injured again it hardly helps their options upfront.
Le Havre meanwhile, are an inconsistent side that is probably underachieving. They have plenty of quality on paper but that doesn't always materialise into results. I’m just waiting for them to go on a good run that will propel them up the table. Scoring goals is also their major problem - just 18 netted in 16 games is a very poor return for a club with their ambitions. Maybe £2m summer signing Tino Kadewere might finally get more than 10 mins off the bench. They really need to start him sooner rather than later and tonight would be an excellent opportunity. I think Le Havre are fairly good value here. They should be a -0.75 Asian line but we can nearly grab even money on them to win the match. It’s probably a case of them being underrated a bit and Chateauroux suddenly overrated. Under 2.25 is probably a value pick as well but I prefer to back just Le Havre here and not commit too much to the game. I sense something like 1-0 or 2-0 home win and the only ‘danger’ scoreline to this bet is probably 0-0.
Recommended bet: Le Havre -0.5 @1.92