I think Paris FC are a crazy price here and have to be backed. They aren’t the greatest attacking team in the world but have kept 7 clean sheets in their last 8 games and must surely fancy their chances of keeping a poor Red Star at bay. The visitors will actually get to play a game in Paris for once and will be the closest they get to an actual home fixture all season (their own home games played on a neutral ground 60 miles away). So Red Star will be fired up for this derby match and actually come into the affair on the back of a 3-0 win vs Sochaux last week. But crucially, two of their better players recently Clement Chantome and Xavier Thomas are injured today and the bottom line is that they aren’t a very good side anyway. I think Paris FC should be on a -1 Asian line around the 1.95 mark tonight but instead they can be backed at the same price just the win the game outright! Even if you were to reduce home advantage due to the derby nature of the game Paris FC still look like a great price here and look like the best value of the night to me. They might only win in something like a tight 1-0 but that doesn’t matter.
Recommended bet: Paris FC -0.5 @1.95