Stabaek lost their first match under returning manager Jan Jonsson, going down 1-2 at Odd on Wednesday night. For the most part, they are much improved recently despite a few lucky incidents such as a couple of penalties missed against them. The defence has tightened up statistically although is still giving away a few too many chances for my liking. Goalkeeper Marcus Sandberg has been in superb form and is the best shotstopper in the Eliteserien for 2019. Sarpsborg are -0.25 away favourites here which I’m surprised at. Sarpsborg have only won two matches all season and things just haven’t been going right for Geier Bakke’s men. They consistently miss way too many opportunities. The visitors are also missing a number of players due to injury and suspension tonight. Key midfielder Kristoffer Zachariasen and striker Jorgen Strand Larsen are the most notable. Just based on pure value then Stabaek +0.25 is worth taking here IMO. The way things are going I don’t see them losing this match, in fact there’s a good chance they can win it.
Recommended bet: Stabaek +0.25 @1.95