Norway Eliteserien – Stabaek v Bodø/Glimt Preview (30/7/20)

Match Preview

Bodø/Glimt are magnificent 10/10 after beating Molde 3-1 on Sunday. This gave them a five point breathing space heading into this round and to be honest the world appears to be their oyster right now. Molde are the only other side in this league capable of pushing them close, so to see them off fairly convincingly has to be a major boost to everyone. Glimt have a lot of quality in this squad but they are also very well managed and in fantastic physical condition. The crazy thing is that Glimt have actually scored more goals on the road where they seem highly efficient. I don’t even think the best of defences could stop this attack from scoring right now. Stabaek are no mugs but I’d be surprised if they have the tools to match up with the table toppers in a midweek affair.

Stabaek are an inconsistent side and only lost twice all season. Those defeats were to Molde and Rosenborg (1-4 and 0-3) and both also happened to be on the back of just four days of rest. I don’t think this Stabaek team is particularly well built for multiple matches in a week. They can get away with it facing the likes of Aalesund but it will be very difficult for them to match Glimt physically in this encounter. There are some doubts surrounding the fitness of visiting key striker Kapser Junker but Boniface could come in and do a job for them if required. Stabaek could be dangerous on the counter attack with the likes of Hansen and Vetelsen running in behind.

I expect this to be an open game. We know what Bodø/Glimt are like and they’ll just attack all day long with their high tempo and pressing. Until we see signs of them running out of gas then it’s probably best to keep backing overs in their matches. I don’t think Stabaek have the defensive resources to make things difficult enough. Janne Johnsen will know that in order to pick up points here they are going to have to score goals themselves. You could back Glimt on a -1 handicap but over 3.5 goals is probably safer in case of a 2-2 draw or something like a 2-3 victory. If there is one slight alarm for Bodø/Glimt supporters then it’s the fact they’ve failed to win any of the last four H2Hs meetings with Stabaek. But they are at a different level now so I expect that to change in their favour.

Prediction: 1-3

Recommended bet: Over 3.5 goals @2.05