Norway Eliteserien – Vålerenga v Aalesund Preview (4/7/20)

Match Preview

 

Vålerenga have started the season inconsistently under new head coach Dag Eilev Fagermo. They will be pleased with their last two games though, scoring late goals to beat Viking and then draw away at RBK. There are still some signs of the soft underbelly which this side had under Ronny Deila, but Fagermo has definitely improved the team to be mentally tougher and also more disciplined on the field. The only game they lost was away at Odd where individual mistakes cost them dearly. Using a 4-3-3 system you know what you are going to get from this VIF team now. In Matthías Vilhjálmsson they have a strong all round type of #9 striker who can find the back of the net.

Visiting them today are an Aalesund side who have certainly had their issues upon promotion to the division. Quite a lot was expected from them this season but as of yet Lars Bohinen’s side have yet to win a game of football. The defence has been catastrophic, conceding 17 goals which is the worst out of anyone. Bohinen has been desperately trying to fix this issue and things improved away at SIF last weekend. They should have won but only drew 1-1 in the end. Unfortunately, individual mistakes and defensive concerns reared their ugly head again against MIF midweek where they lost 1-3 at home.

Bohinen rested his best player Niklas Castro in that fixture which seems strange because surely that was a more winnable game than this away trip to Vålerenga. At least he and striker Sigurd Haugen should be relatively fresh. (EDIT Haugen suspended Holmbert Fridjonsson should start instead) It looks like there could be a change in goal where Gundmund Kongshavn gets the gloves. I fancy VIF to win the game but their price is a little on the short side. I could see AFK threatening on the break. Something which has gone under the radar is that Vålerenga have only kept one clean sheet which was away at Sarpsborg on the opening day. Over 3 goals is therefore my selection at a generous price. Ideally I’d back Over 2.75 goals but the odds are a bit poor. Over 3 goals could easily push here with a full refund with 2-1 the danger scoreline for that. Both teams will score in my opinion and this should be a match containing quite a few chances.

As a side bet I’m taking Aalesund attacker Niklas Castro to score anytime @3.50. This looks too big for a very classy player who will be on penalties and probably most free kicks as well. He has netted in 2 of his last 3 games and will be eager to make a mark on this fixture. 

Prediction: 3-1

Recommended bet: Over 3 goals @2.07

Recommended bet: Niklas Castro anytime scorer @3.50 (Betway)