Both sides have been up and down this season and been a bit underwhelming at times. As a result, this is a battle between 11th and 12th in the table. Huagesund looked like they were returning to form after beating both Rosenborg and Stabaek but then fell to a 0-1 defeat at Mjøndalen last week. That match kind of summed up their problems this season which have mostly been offensively based. Key man Ibrahima Wadji could return from injury this week and it would be a boost to have his presence upfront. Kallman is injured and in my personal opinion Ammitzboll simply isn’t effective enough. Kristoffer Velde scored a hat trick in their last home game vs Stabaek but that could prove to be a flash in the pan. More consistency is needed from him. The one area that Haugesund are strong is defensively. If you take out their freak 6-1 drubbing at Glimt they have only conceded 12 goals in the other 12 games combined which is excellent.
Strømsgodset have a different problem in that they can’t stop conceding goals. Only Aalesund have shipped in more at the back and four of those came in the shocking 3-4 home loss to Sandefjord last week. SIF won’t know how they managed to contrive to lose that game because they had more than enough chances to secure the 3 points. They need to be more clinical in attack because they’ve only kept once clean sheet all season, which was way back in round two. It’s for that reason which makes me give Haugesund the edge here. They can probably keep it tight and they have by far the better defence. I don’t see this being a classic sort of game and something like 1-0 or 1-1 seems likely. Haugesund -0.5 tempted me but their price isn’t quite high enough. Likewise, under 2.75 felt like a possible bet but I just don’t trust that Godset defence to keep it tight.
Recommended bet: None