Norway Eliteserien – Mjøndalen v Viking Preview (27/9/20)

Match Preview

Mjøndalen

Things haven’t been going very well for MIF. They’ve lost a whopping 11 of their last 13 games which is a horrible return. I have often praised manager Vegard Hansen who has done an amazing job here for well over a decade. However, even I have to question how negative they've been recently. It just seems that Mjøndalen aren’t willing to go on the attack enough and are offering nothing. MIF are the lowest scoring team in the league with a measly 13 goals in 18 games. They’ve fired blanks in 6 of their last 9 games and it seems the only way they can get a result is if they just defend for their lives and fluke a 1-0. Nothing seems to be changing in terms of approach and I was a bit disenchanted about their attitude against Sandefjord and Sarpsborg recently. Injuries haven’t helped their cause either. Captain and veteran leader Christian Gauseth finally returned last week but missed a large chunk of time. Tonny Brochmann is still down with an illness and for this match key centre back Sondre Johansen is rated doubtful, although will probably play. Mjøndalen have lost 6 out of 8 home games this season and only scored 5 goals - they are even less prolific in front of their own fans!

Viking

The visitors had a poor start to the season but have roared back to form in recent weeks. Viking have now won 4 straight games and look full of goals and confidence. Key men like Berisha and Bytyqi have been on fire and causing problems to the opposition. Viking have a problem at left back ahead of this game. Adrian Nilsen Pereira was recently sold to PAOK and Rolf Vikstol is suspended. Midfielder Kristoffer Lokberg probably won’t play due to injury. I would expect to see Yan De Lanlay return to the starting XI on the right wing but Viking have a few options there if needed. The visitors can be ‘got at’ defensively and rarely keep a clean sheet. Whether MIF can take advantage of that remains to be seen though.

Conclusion & Betting analysis

We have a total clash of styles here between a Mjøndalen side who are very negative, physical and defensive minded vs a Viking outfit who are wild and gung-ho right now. If Mjøndalen can’t score here then they really do have problems because Viking will give you chances. I just see the visitors are in a much better state right now though and should get the 3 points. Even if the game is tight and closed then one moment of magic from someone like Berisha or Bytyqi could make the difference. Viking can be backed on a -0.25 Asian Handicap around the 1.90 mark and this line offers some sort of security in case of a draw. Over 2.5 is priced as low as 1.70 but with MIF so poor in front of goal you might need Viking to cover it by themselves. I think something like a 0-2 or 1-2 seems likely and on current form and away victory seems quite probable.

Prediction: 1-2

Recommended bet: Viking -0.25  Asian Handicap @1.90