France Ligue 2 – Ajaccio v Toulouse Preview (17/10/20)

Match Preview

Ajaccio

Olivier Pantaloni’s men only have 4 points on the board and it’s been a stuttering start to the season for ACA. I expect them to gradually improve and they should become especially tough opposition at home. They were late adding recruitment during the summer, had a few COVID cases and also had a problem with the pitch at their own stadium. A collection of things appear to have been against them and it sort of culminated in the terrible 1-5 loss at Auxerre just before the international break. I think that break would’ve done them some good and allowed certain players to get up to full fitness. Key midfielder Mathieu Coutadouer is injured but the rest of the squad seems fine.

Toulouse

Captain and key centre back Ruben Gabrielsen is suspended along with Bafode Diakite. This will significantly weaken TFC at the back. Toulouse have only won 1 out of 6 games this season and have been slow out of the blocks. There have been some more encouraging signs recently but I sense this is still a team in transition after relegation. A number of new signings, especially in midfield have been added to the squad. The latest of those, Dutchman Stijn Spierings is included today.

Conclusion & Betting analysis

I think this is a tough game to predict and it feels drawish. I don’t think either team will keep a clean sheet so something like 1-1 feels about right. If Toulouse were at full strength then I’d be looking at backing them on a +0.25 handicap. In the long run when things settle down they will be one of the top sides in Ligue 2 and at worst be a top 6 outfit. However, for now there are enough teething problems to swerve them, plus this is always a difficult place to visit.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None