It was a great start for new Niort coach Sebastien Desabre as they went five games unbeaten. However, just before the international break a 0-2 loss at Chateauroux set them back. I must admit I was surprised they lost that game and didn’t really see it coming. Desabre looks like a good coach and the type who will get the absolute maximum out of the group of players here in Niort. On paper, he doesn't have an awful lot of quality to work with. New goalkeeper Mathieu Michel will probably make his debut in this fixture. Centre back Issouf Paro will likely return from injury but Bryan Passi is still ruled out. In attack, the coach has surprisingly left out both Goduine Koyalipou and David Djigla.
The visitors have the best defence in Ligue 2 and have conceded just a solitary goal this season. Pascal Dupraz will be without two regulars though in Anthony Weber and Steeve Yago who are both not included in the squad, likely because they tested positive for COVID-19. Caen can have a problem breaking down teams and they were held to a 0-0 draw vs Chambly in this way not so long ago. They have added firepower in the final third to try and improve their creativity and goalscoring. Yoann Court has already madea couple of starts and should be at full fitness by now, whilst Alexandre Mendy is included in the squad for the first time. Caleb Zady is another who hasn’t been fully fit so far this season but the two week international break should’ve given him time to get into shape.
Conclusion & Betting analysis
I do wonder if the Niort bubble might have burst a bit. They conceded two second half goals to Paris FC and then lost at Chateauroux. Sebastien Desabre has done really well since taking over but he is only as good as the tools he has to work. To be brutally honest there isn’t a lot of quality and class at Niort. Caen have been labouring to 1-0 wins and keeping things tight but without a couple of key defenders they may have to lean on their attack more. I could actually see this match being more open than expected, especially as Caen now have a few more extra weapons in their arsenal. I was thinking about backing Caen on a DNB handicap and over 2 goals but I will give Niort some respect. I think something like a 1-2 or even a 1-3 away win might be possible though.
Recommended bet: None