FKH seem in a bit of a mess at the moment. It has been a below par season overall anyway, but a shocking defeat 1-5 away at Start just prior to the international break has left them only 4 points above the relegation playoff position. Haugesund have now lost 3 of their last 4 games and only a freak miraculous comeback to earn them a 4-4 draw vs Odd is all they can really lean on as a positive recently. The Haugesund defence was extremely watertight last season but for whatever reason far more vulnerable in 2020. The problem is their attack force can’t compensate the other way on a regular basis. Key striker Ibrahima Wadji is injured for this game and his presence upfront will be missed. FKH have at least won 3 of their last 5 home matches and are more comfortable on their own natural grass surroundings it seems.
Mickael Stahre’s visitors are probably in their most consistent form of the season. They have picked up 10 points from their last 4 games and not conceded a goal in the process. It has been a soft run of fixtures which includes the likes of MIF & Aalesund but you have to beat what is in front of you. One negative for Sarpsborg is that most of their good results have been at home this year and they’ve only won twice on their travels. There is an injury doubt to centre back Bjorn Inge Utvik, but left wing back Joachim Thomassen might return after a few weeks out. Sarpsborg are comfortably sitting in midtable on 27 points and you can just sense their tails are up. A 4-0 victory vs Stabaek just before the international break was very impressive.
Conclusion & Betting analysis
The last time these two teams met it ended in a 0-0 draw and I could see something similar. I do worry for Haugesund a bit because since that result they haven’t managed to keep a clean sheet. The 2 week international break probably came at a good time. I like under 2.5 goals but this would be a huge risk considering the last seven Haugesund games have ended over 2.5 goals. Until we see evidence of their defence improving again it’s probably sensible to avoid any unders. I personally don’t see this match kicking into life at all though and it will likely be tight cagey and low scoring.
Recommended bet: None