Norway Eliteserien – Mjøndalen v Brann Preview (17/10/20)

Match Preview

Mjøndalen

The two week international break definitely came at a good time for MIF. They’ve lost their last 6 games and are in the middle of a massive rut. It has been a poor year for Mjøndalen and the biggest problem has been scoring goals. Vegard Hansen’s men have netted just 15 times in 20 games which is by far the worst record out of anyone in the league. It won’t help their cause that top scorer Ibrahim Shuaibu is ruled out for 5-6 weeks with a dislocated shoulder. He has been feeding on scraps for most of the campaign though and Mjøndalen simply don’t create enough chances from open play. They remain dangerous from set pieces but it seems that teams are more wise to them this year from a dead ball situation. Referees haven’t allowed their physical nature to impose on games either and they are regularly penalised for fouls. It has been a miserable year at home for MIF losing 7 out of 9 fixtures and netting just 6 times in the process.

Brann

It feels like this is a transition period for Brann and a season which will be best forgotten quickly. They are actually languishing as low as 10th in the table and only 5 points clear of the relegation playoff zone. New coach Kåre Ingebrigtsen has only won 1 of his 7 matches in charge and recent form hasn’t been great. To be fair, Brann have had some very tough recent fixtures with the likes of Glimt, Vålerenga and Molde all faced. I have liked the extra positivity from Brann and they definitely appear to be more attack minded under the new coach. Injuries and transfers out of the club haven’t helped their cause either and there has been a general period of unsettlement in Bergen. New signing Sander Svendsen should be in line to make his debut here and I expect him to be a decent addition in the final third.

Conclusion & Betting analysis

Since Mjøndalen got promoted back into the Eliteserien last year they have been one of Brann’s ‘bogey teams’ The reverse fixture ended 1-0 to MIF as they totally shithoused their way to victory. In this clash last season they won 2-1 and have a habit of frustrating Brann. Vegard Hansen has had 2 weeks of planning for this game and I expect something similar to how he has lined up vs Brann previously. The simple fact is that the visitors are the better team though. If they play well and take their chances then it should end up as an away victory. Could you trust Brann after their own recent form though and a tendency to struggle against Mjøndalen? The visitors are -0.25 Asian Handicap favourites which is probably fair but they aren’t an attractive proposition in my opinion. I could see this game ending a draw if I’m being honest. I expect it to be quite a physical, start-stop sort of affair that isn’t a great watch.

Prediction: 1-1

Recommended bet: None